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...See, for example, Krisha Guha's recent piece:<br /><br />http://blogs.ft.com/money-supply/2009/11/06/us-unemployment-and-the-fed/Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30643134.post-89826316000986521372009-11-06T23:56:42.398-05:002009-11-06T23:56:42.398-05:00I think you may need to brush up on your FedSpeak....I think you may need to brush up on your FedSpeak.<br /><br />When they say "resources", they mean people. When they say "resource utilization", they mean employment.<br /><br />Agree that they said nothing about house prices or carry trades or gold or whatever. But they certainly mentioned employment; they just used FedSpeak.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30643134.post-80765212840148137662009-11-06T17:58:53.506-05:002009-11-06T17:58:53.506-05:00I think that looking at consumer credit today mean...I think that looking at consumer credit today means that capacity utilization will have to have some kind of new calibration. Is the FED ready to do that? No idea.<br /><br />The day they do signal the end of zero rates, there is going to be a tmper tantrum of a sell of that will be very interesting.<br /><br />Always in motion is the future.EconomicDisconnecthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02802078645713106743noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30643134.post-31440154569453716312009-11-06T17:37:52.203-05:002009-11-06T17:37:52.203-05:00"Advance indicators are up!"
"Stay..."Advance indicators are up!"<br /><br />"Stay on target!"<br /><br />"The Dollar is falling..."<br /><br />"Stay on target!"<br /><br />I suspect that the Fed will focus like Red Leader on getting the banks recapitalized. Only a direct hit can start the chain-reaction that will ignite lending and destroy the liquidity-trap Death Star. But the Sith Lord Inflation may ...<br /><br />"... come - from - behind!"<br /><br />Can Obi-Wan-Bernanke inspire the Fed's Jedi to use the force and sink that proton torpedo? Stay tuned...DougThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05890735342570047650noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-30643134.post-48696449347160028202009-11-06T17:30:50.045-05:002009-11-06T17:30:50.045-05:00I'll be the contrarian, again. Net treasury is...I'll be the contrarian, again. <b>Net</b> treasury issuance will be down this year for one simple reason: there will be no $700 billion TARP going forward. Note the treasury auctions will still be larger as they rollover the short term debt that was issued this year but the net will be down. I have seen statements from the Treasury that they intend to increase the average age of maturity so we may still see pressure on the intermediate-term securities as they bear more of the volume but the two and three notes will probably be in short supply as people give up on betting that the Fed will raise rates in the near term.Advant Guardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13724697741711826082noreply@blogger.com